Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani is maintaining a sizable 16-point lead over his closest competitor, independent candidate Andrew Cuomo, according to a new poll released Thursday morning.
The Marist University poll, which came out as hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers have already voted early in the Nov. 4 mayoral election, shows Mamdani besting Cuomo by a 48%-to-32% margin, with Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa clinching 16%.
That means Mamdani’s edge in the race is essentially staying flat, per Marist’s polling.
A Marist survey released on Sept. 16 projected Mamdani clinching 46% support from likely voters, compared with 30% for Cuomo — also a 16-point margin. In that poll, Sliwa took home 18%.
The latest Marist poll was conducted between last Friday and Tuesday and quizzed 1,134 likely city voters. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.2 points.
Cuomo has recently been trying to close the gap with Mamdani by urging Republican voters to not “waste” their vote on Sliwa and instead support him, arguing he’s the only candidate with a real shot at beating the frontrunner. Pro-Cuomo super PACs have pumped millions of dollars into ads spreading that message, too.
The Marist poll projects it wouldn’t necessarily benefit Cuomo if Sliwa drops out of the race, though.
In fact, the poll says 51% of Sliwa’s supporters would support Mamdani if the Republican dropped out, while 44% would back Cuomo.
Sliwa has said he will not drop out of the race under any circumstance. Early voting started this past Saturday.
The latest Marist screening is consistent with most polling of the general mayoral election, as Mamdani has clinched double-digit leads in just about all recent surveys.
